Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 89.264012 99.502135 109.902118 121.226715 133.180834 145.396392 158.794536
2025-10-19 72.802430 87.589400 103.216407 120.838132 140.039514 160.221524 182.933604
2025-10-26 62.406401 79.662659 98.451624 120.176980 144.371499 170.279182 199.916708
2025-11-02 55.157187 74.264375 95.621822 120.846158 149.442436 180.519724 216.526260
2025-11-09 48.355569 68.647266 91.914526 119.946078 152.244798 187.810272 229.476263
2025-11-16 43.208781 64.488177 89.470393 120.108019 155.912329 195.782662 242.928177
2025-11-23 38.114483 59.950189 86.214176 118.998433 157.840879 201.558714 253.706287
2025-11-30 34.950401 57.556428 85.317751 120.484929 162.618815 210.448227 267.894146
2025-12-07 32.296032 55.595917 84.778384 122.251575 167.604923 219.483215 282.171678
2025-12-14 28.663188 52.056871 82.048259 121.167779 169.057963 224.305245 291.512625
2025-12-21 24.981189 48.157446 78.633900 119.048016 169.110475 227.364505 298.707251
2025-12-28 24.173912 48.227765 80.314757 123.253195 176.783579 239.361250 316.272458
2026-01-04 22.712119 47.276842 80.622583 125.732828 182.396112 248.994492 331.186274
2026-01-11 20.241104 44.648282 78.563554 125.099235 184.121219 253.968510 340.619428
2026-01-18 18.005854 42.185499 76.591387 124.465052 185.755716 258.764513 349.785251
2026-01-25 16.393518 40.562099 75.681824 125.140759 188.965510 265.411078 361.107610
2026-02-01 14.443433 38.213810 73.635030 124.223913 190.103701 269.503120 369.356500
2026-02-08 12.976936 36.537506 72.454509 124.388887 192.555390 275.149237 379.427146
2026-02-15 11.298444 34.319448 70.374977 123.257177 193.290032 278.653291 386.898076
2026-02-22 10.427343 33.474768 70.270940 124.773331 197.391995 286.264288 399.288092
2026-03-01 9.690018 32.809926 70.395448 126.575026 201.844538 294.297422 412.184326
2026-03-08 8.365201 30.856167 68.467856 125.469755 202.479574 297.584750 419.326172
2026-03-15 6.959527 28.535056 65.849804 123.307747 201.666296 299.024697 424.188198